Friday, April 24, 2009

The Butterfly Effect



The "butterfly effect", and term, is the work of Edward Lorenz,
and is based in Chaos Theory and sensitive dependence on initial conditions,

first described in the literature by Jacques Hadamard in 1890.

The idea that one butterfly could eventually have a far-reaching ripple effect on subsequent historic events seems first to have appeared in a 1952 short story by Ray Bradbury about time travel, but it was Lorenz
who made the term popular in 1961.

Lorenz was using a numerical computer model to rerun a weather prediction, when, he shortcut on a number in the sequence, and entered .506 instead of entering the full .506127 number the computer would hold.


The result was a completely different weather scenario.

Which caused quite a flap.

Lorenz published his findings in a 1963 paper for the New York Academy of Sciences and he noted;
"One meteorologist remarked that if the theory were correct, one flap of a seagull's wings could change the course of weather forever.". In later speeches and papers by Lorenz used the more poetic butterfly.

According to the actual theory, if history could be "changed" at all (so that one is not invoking something like the Novikov self- consistency principle which would ensure a fixed self-consistent timeline), the mere presence of the time travelers in the past would be enough to change short-term events and would also have an unpredictable
impact on the distant future.

Therefore, if one could travel into the past, they could never return to the same version of reality he or she had come from and could have therefore not been able to travel back in time in the first place, which would create a phenomenon referred to as a time paradox.

Chaos theory describes the behavior of certain dynamic systems – systems whose states evolve with time – that may exhibit dynamics that are highly sensitive to initial conditions

Chaotic behavior is also observed in natural systems, such as the weather...politics and the economy.

This may be explained by a chaos-theoretical analysis of a mathematical model of such a system, embodying the laws of physics that are relevant for the natural system.Turbulence in the tip vortex from an airplane wing shows the critical point beyond which a system creates turbulence which is important for Chaos theory, analyzed by Soviet physicist Lev Landau who developed the Landau-Hopf theory of turbulence.

The Chaordic Age, as coined by Dee Hock, refers to a system that blends characteristics of chaos and order.

The mix of chaos and order is described as a harmonious coexistence displaying characteristics of both, with neither chaos nor order behaving predominately. Some maintain that nature, and the universe, is largely organized in such a Chaordic manner; particularly, living organisms and the evolutionary process by which they arose are often described as chaordic in nature.

oh the chaordic turbulence we unwittingly incur.

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